New York Mets defeat New York Yankees 12-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · MLB · New York Mets 12, New York Yankees 2

The New York Mets defeated the New York Yankees 12–2 on Saturday at Yankee Stadium, covering the +1.5 spread as the underdog and the game went over the 8-run total to 14 combined runs.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees final score and game recap

The Mets built a 5–1 lead through five innings and never looked back, extending it to a 12–2 rout. Zac Thornton started for New York and Gerrit Cole for the Yankees. The Mets scored in bunches early—one run in the first, two in the second, and one in the third—before the Yankees answered with a single run in the fourth. New York added one more in the fifth, then went quiet for one inning. A solo run in the seventh preceded the decisive eighth inning, when the Mets plated five runs to put the game out of reach. A final run in the ninth sealed the victory. The Yankees managed only two runs total, one in the fourth and one in the sixth.

Who covered the spread in New York Mets vs. New York Yankees?

The New York Mets covered the +1.5 spread. The Yankees opened and closed as 1.5-run favorites, but the Mets won by 10 runs, far exceeding the line. AiQ backed the Yankees at –1.5 with 60% confidence and graded the pick as a loss.

Did New York Mets vs. New York Yankees go over or under the total?

The game went over the 8-run total, finishing at 14 runs. The total opened at 8.5 and dropped a half-run to 8 by close. The Mets' five-run eighth inning alone sent the total well past the threshold. AiQ had taken the Under 8 with 58% confidence, resulting in a loss.

How did AiQ's New York Mets vs. New York Yankees predictions do?

AiQ went 0–3 on this game:

The model correctly identified the Yankees as favorites but failed to anticipate the Mets' offensive output, leading to losses across all three markets. The total prediction missed by six runs, underestimating run potential at Yankee Stadium.

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline listed the Mets at +138 and the Yankees at –166, implying a 40% win probability for the Mets and 60% for the Yankees after vigorish removal. The bookmaker's margin was 4.4%. A $100 wager on the Mets at +138 returned $138 in profit. AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Yankees at –164 was –3.9%, a negative-EV price. The spread held steady from open to close while the total moved from 8.5 to 8.

The Mets sit at 67–79 through 146 games, with a 34–40 home record and 33–39 away/neutral. Against the spread, they are 58–57 in 115 games with a closing spread, and 52 overs, 52 unders, 11 ties on the over/under in those same games. Their last five results: W, L, W, W, W.

The Yankees are 84–62 after 146 games, holding a 41–32 home record and 43–30 away/neutral. Their against-the-spread mark stands at 64–57 in 121 games with a closing spread, while the over/under is 55 overs, 63 unders, and 3 ties in those 121 games. Their last five results: L, W, W, W, W.

What's next for New York Mets and New York Yankees?

The Mets will host the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, September 17. The Yankees head to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks on Friday, September 18.