Los Angeles Dodgers defeat Miami Marlins 6-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers 6, Miami Marlins 2

Los Angeles Dodgers 6, Miami Marlins 2. The Dodgers covered the -1.5 spread and the game went over the 7.5 total, finishing with 8 combined runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins final score and game recap

The Dodgers broke through in the third inning at loanDepot park and never relinquished control. After a scoreless first two innings, Los Angeles took a 1-0 lead and held it through the fifth. In the sixth inning, both teams scored one run each. The decisive moment came in the seventh, when Los Angeles scored four runs to extend the margin to 6-1. Miami added a run in the eighth, but the Dodgers' bullpen closed out a 6-2 victory. Blake Snell started for Los Angeles and Ryan Gusto for Miami.

Who covered the spread in Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins?

The Los Angeles Dodgers covered the -1.5 spread, winning by four runs and exceeding the line comfortably. The spread opened and closed at -1.5 with no movement. AiQ's spread pick was the Dodgers -1.5 at 59% confidence, graded as a win.

Did Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins go over or under the total?

The game went over the 7.5 total, finishing with 8 combined runs. The total opened and closed at 7.5 with no shift. AiQ's total pick was Over 7.5 at 58% confidence, resulting in a win.

How did AiQ's Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins predictions do?

AiQ posted a perfect 3-0 record on this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The Dodgers entered as -199 favorites, implying a 64% chance of victory after vigorish removal, while Miami was +164 with an implied 36% chance. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.4%. A $100 wager on Los Angeles at -199 returned $50.25 profit. AiQ's internal expected-value calculation placed the Dodgers at -205, a slightly longer price that translated to a -4.1% expected value, indicating the model liked the side but found the offered odds unfavorable. The market's implied probability of 65% (vig removed) was marginally higher than AiQ's calibrated 64% estimate, confirming the line was close to the model's fair value.

The Dodgers sit at 90-55 overall, with a 47-26 home record and 43-29 on the road. In 123 games with a recorded closing spread, they are 49-74 against the spread, and in those same 123 games they are 59-62-2 on the over/under. They have won their last five outings and are riding an eight-game winning streak. The Marlins sit at 72-75 overall, 43-32 at home and 29-43 away. Their against-the-spread record in 117 games is 61-56, and they are 60-55-2 on the over/under in those games. Miami's last five results are losses in four of five, extending a four-game losing streak.

What's next for Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins?

The Dodgers travel to Cincinnati to face the Reds on Thursday, September 17. The Marlins head to San Diego for a matchup with the Padres on Friday, September 18.