Baltimore Orioles defeat Toronto Blue Jays 7-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · MLB · Baltimore Orioles 7, Toronto Blue Jays 4

Baltimore Orioles defeated Toronto Blue Jays 7-4, covering the +1.5 spread as an underdog. The game went over the 7.5 total with 11 combined runs.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays final score and game recap

The Orioles built a 6-1 lead by the end of the fifth inning—one run in the first, then five in the second—before Toronto scored once in the fourth and once in the sixth, then added two more in the ninth, but the Orioles' early barrage proved decisive. Baltimore added an insurance run in the seventh. Chris Bassitt started for Baltimore and Max Scherzer for Toronto.

Who covered the spread in Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays?

The Baltimore Orioles covered the spread at +1.5. The Orioles won by three, making them the ATS winner despite entering as the underdog. AiQ backed Toronto at -1.5 with 59% confidence and lost.

Did Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays go over or under the total?

The game went over the 7.5 total, finishing with 11 runs. The total opened at 8.5 and moved down to 7.5. AiQ's under-8 pick, made with 62% confidence, was graded as a loss.

How did AiQ's Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays predictions do?

AiQ finished 0-3 on this contest.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline was Baltimore at +112 and Toronto at -135, implying a 45% win probability for the Orioles and 55% for the Blue Jays after removing the 4.6% vig. The Orioles' victory paid $112 on a $100 stake. AiQ's pre-game moneyline expected value was +0.2% at -125, a modestly positive-EV price compared with the market's 55% implied probability versus AiQ's 56% calibrated estimate. Late money moved toward Toronto on the spread, yet the underdog covered.

The Orioles sit at 72-75 overall, 36-38 at home and 36-37 on the road. They are 57-55 against the spread in 112 games with a recorded closing spread, and 56-52-4 on the total in that sample. They have won their last two games.

The Blue Jays are 73-74 overall, 37-35 at home and 36-39 away. They are 58-52 against the spread in 110 games and 52-54-4 on the total in that set. They have lost their last two games.

What's next for Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays?

The Orioles will host the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday, September 18. The Blue Jays travel to face the Texas Rangers the same day.